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Rollout and OTB

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 5:12 a.m.

In Response To: LA Masters rd 2 recube action ? (neilkaz)

OTB I saw 14 super numbers to either close the board or make a prime and then I'm gin. If not, Dana needs an entering 1, but much of the time he gets a 1, he ends up busting up his board soon. Thus I was unsure whether he had the needed 12 to 13% to take and honestly was leaning towards this being a techinical pass.

I recubed and he dropped and I later won the match.

The score (after 0 games) is: Dana 5, Neil 9 (match to 13 points)

Move number 7: Neil on roll, cube decision?


5X2X3X '2X2X ' ' ' ' '1O

1O2O2O2O2O2O '2O ' ' '1O

Pip counts: Dana 65, Neil 82
Position ID: 384GAEBt2wwFAA Match ID: UQmgAVAASAAA

• Neil doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.8111(Money: +0.8148)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.2174 +0.2174
3.No double +0.8995 -0.1005
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Neil owns 2-cube0.87750.06930.0040-0.12250.01340.0000 +0.8111 +0.8995
Standard error0.00040.00070.0008-0.00040.00040.0000 0.0011 0.0011
Player Dana owns 4-cube0.90270.12060.0020-0.09730.04900.0028 +1.6369 +1.2174
Standard error0.00050.00510.0004-0.00050.00210.0009 0.0026 0.0041
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2811 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806586368 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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