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Rollout and OTB etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 5:20 a.m.

In Response To: LA Masters rd 3 score based cube ? (neilkaz)

OTB, and even knowing that my checker on the 18 pt is hit about 14% next roll, I just didn't think that White could have much more than the needed 23% (assuming I don't get G'd which seems extremely unlikely) to take and rewhip. I honestly felt it was a technical pass as White has issues making his 5 pt sometimes and may have a poorly timed ace pt game also. I cubed and Doug took and won for a 12-11 Crawford lead, but I won the next two games to take the match and get into the semis to be played tomorrow. This cube did cause some raised eyebrows amoungst the kibs, but so often people are afraid to actually try to win the match directly when it's clear to do so.

The score (after 0 games) is: Doug 8, Neil 11 (match to 13 points)

Move number 5: Neil on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Doug 115, Neil 86
Position ID: 7uaAATB2sw+AAA Match ID: cAmgAYAAWAAA

• Neil doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.7472	(Money: +0.6861)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.2655	+0.2655
3.	No double	+0.9167	-0.0833
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7965 0.1018 0.0064 - 0.2035 0.0150 0.0001 +0.7472 +0.9167 Standard error 0.0015 0.0031 0.0015 - 0.0015 0.0007 0.0001 0.0040 0.0052 Player Doug owns 2-cube 0.8099 0.1942 0.0179 - 0.1901 0.0094 0.0003 +1.8998 +1.2655 Standard error 0.0022 0.0120 0.0034 - 0.0022 0.0013 0.0001 0.0105 0.0180
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
469 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806377313 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LA Masters rd 3 score based cube ?
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 5:40 a.m.
  • LA Masters rd 3 score based cube ?
    Caryl Stephanson -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 6:33 p.m.
  • LA Masters rd 3 score based cube ?
    Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 7:35 p.m.
  • Rollout Started *NM*
    Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 7:42 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 10:09 p.m.
      • Rollout
        David Montgomery -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 3:39 a.m.
  • LA Masters rd 3 score based cube ?
    garyo -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 9:19 p.m.
  • Rollout and OTB etc
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 5:20 a.m.
    • Rollout and OTB etc
      Stick -- Monday, 8 December 2008, at 4:06 p.m.