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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 5:24 a.m.

In Response To: Routine 21 play ? (neilkaz)

OTB I was quite certain that 7/4 was correct since I'd hate to leave a double shot with 65 or 54 if I make the 5 pt and my opp rolls small and stays. 7/6 2/0 is OK, but I want that spare on the 4 pt. Soon I failed to pt on the ace pt with 4 builders and then was hit trying to clear my 6 pt. Then I won the next two games to take the match anyhow.

The score (after 0 games) is: Doug 8, Neil 11 (match to 13 points)

Move number 7: Neil to play 12

Pip counts: Doug 98, Neil 56
Position ID: 3bUJADDeNxcAAA Match ID: UomoAYAAWAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	7/4	+0.7896
			0.8949 0.2490 0.0130 - 0.1051 0.0001 0.0000 +0.7896 +0.7896 0.0004 0.0040 0.0008 - 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0008 0.0008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			6796 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806371556 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	7/6 2/off	+0.7777 ( -0.0119)
			0.8889 0.2735 0.0162 - 0.1111 0.0000 0.0000 +0.7777 +0.7777 0.0004 0.0041 0.0009 - 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0009 0.0009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			6797 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806371556 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	7/5 6/5	+0.7666 ( -0.0230)
			0.8833 0.2448 0.0187 - 0.1167 0.0000 0.0000 +0.7666 +0.7666 0.0004 0.0039 0.0009 - 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0008 0.0008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			6797 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806371556 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	7/5 3/2	+0.4799 ( -0.3097)
			0.7484 0.1036 0.0026 - 0.2516 0.0180 0.0001
	5	0	6/4 3/2	+0.4454 ( -0.3442)
			0.7330 0.1107 0.0026 - 0.2670 0.0220 0.0001

Messages In This Thread

• Routine 21 play ?
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 7:01 a.m.
  • Routine 21 play ?
    Sam Pottle -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 10:15 a.m.
  • Routine 21 play ?
    Caryl Stephanson -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Rollout Started *NM*
    Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 6:55 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 11:36 p.m.
  • Routine 21 play ?
    MandM1951 -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 8:40 p.m.
  • Routine 21 play ?
    garyo -- Saturday, 6 December 2008, at 9:25 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 5:24 a.m.