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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 8 December 2008, at 7:30 a.m.

In Response To: -4-2 cube vs Bob Glass (neilkaz)

A couple onlookers were surprised, but this is a routine cube at this score. Bob won the game and match.

The score (after 0 games) is: Bob 9, Neil 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: Neil on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Bob 142, Neil 150
Position ID: 4HPiBwBw58IBIg Match ID: cAlgAZAAOAAA

• Neil doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.1935	(Money: +0.1325)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.5369
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4631
3.	No double	+0.4535	-0.0835
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5255 0.1695 0.0069 - 0.4745 0.0887 0.0063 +0.1935 +0.4535 Standard error 0.0019 0.0022 0.0017 - 0.0019 0.0050 0.0012 0.0084 0.0119 Player Bob owns 2-cube 0.5223 0.1775 0.0141 - 0.4777 0.1263 0.0164 +0.5369 +0.5369 Standard error 0.0026 0.0028 0.0037 - 0.0026 0.0073 0.0029 0.0169 0.0169
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
749 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806757814 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• -4-2 cube vs Bob Glass
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 5:30 a.m.
  • -4-2 cube vs Bob Glass
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 7:58 a.m.
  • -4-2 cube vs Bob Glass
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 8:43 p.m.
  • -4-2 cube vs Bob Glass
    Martin -- Sunday, 7 December 2008, at 9:36 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Monday, 8 December 2008, at 7:30 a.m.
    • OTB and rollout
      Stick -- Monday, 8 December 2008, at 3:58 p.m.
      • OTB and rollout
        neilkaz -- Monday, 8 December 2008, at 6:04 p.m.