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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 8 December 2008, at 6:11 p.m.

In Response To: Rd 2 of main Cube#1 vs Bob Glass (neilkaz)

Just a close score based pass as I can sometimes steal a win when hit and while my game looks awful, I may escape being hit. A very long and lost rollout had this about 1.027

The score (after 0 games) is: Bob 2, Neil 4 (match to 11 points)

Move number 6: Bob on roll, cube decision?


 ' ' '2X2X3X '2X '1X1X '

3O5O1X2X '3O1O ' '3O '1X

Pip counts: Bob 150, Neil 68
Position ID: 9+HiAADYzpQACw Match ID: AgFgASAAIAAA

• Bob doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4252(Money: +0.3034)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0345 +0.0345
3.No double +0.8047 -0.1953
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Bob owns 4-cube0.66210.16370.0094-0.33790.19040.0035 +0.4252 +0.8047
Standard error0.00120.00180.0019-0.00120.00560.0010 0.0029 0.0043
Player Neil owns 8-cube0.68500.15510.0231-0.31500.22310.0059 +1.0345 +1.0345
Standard error0.00150.00310.0033-0.00150.00710.0016 0.0062 0.0062
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806757814 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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