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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Take this to your heart and into your head now (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 11 December 2008, at 1:25 p.m.
Still a lot of variance left so in theory my play could make a comeback. (it came back once already, after XXX trials it was behind .16!) I have no desire to extend it further though, it is kind of a long rollout, if someone wants to extend it further let me know & I'll send you the file.
Truth be told I've seen similar positions before and known it was correct to come off the rear checkers, try to keep my army as one. Here though I convinced myself OtB that the checker on the bar and two on the ace pushed this into a different category and made my own bar point - donk.
user 177
gnubg 165 Position ID: sHPwAFjYnWCAMQ Match ID: cIkNAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 24/18 21/18(2) +0.6247
0.6297 0.2380 0.0175 - 0.3703 0.0870 0.0044 +0.4235 +0.6247 0.0019 0.0022 0.0008 - 0.0019 0.0014 0.0003 0.0051 0.0136 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806860098 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 24/18(2) +0.6150 ( -0.0098)
0.6264 0.2356 0.0176 - 0.3736 0.0871 0.0035 +0.4154 +0.6150 0.0020 0.0024 0.0012 - 0.0020 0.0014 0.0005 0.0058 0.0152 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806860098 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 3 R 13/7(2) +0.5635 ( -0.0612)
0.6038 0.2644 0.0269 - 0.3962 0.1050 0.0045 +0.3893 +0.5635 0.0023 0.0024 0.0013 - 0.0023 0.0017 0.0009 0.0066 0.0202 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806860098 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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