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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 12 December 2008, at 7:05 a.m.

In Response To: Vegas Cube Action (Stick)

A very accurate cube on his part noting my total lack of recube vig. OtB I thought it to be perhaps early noting that I may be stubborn enough to take even if he runs out & I don't hit the shot. The take seemed so easy I had to question the cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: user 2, gnubg 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

user	115
gnubg	138
Position ID: uJ2DATDc3AYDIA Match ID: MAFgASAAOAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3606	(Money: +0.3377)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.6670
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3330
3.	No double	+0.5977	-0.0693
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6330 0.1564 0.0107 - 0.3670 0.0867 0.0086 +0.3606 +0.5977 Standard error 0.0012 0.0012 0.0004 - 0.0012 0.0014 0.0014 0.0032 0.0068 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6419 0.1554 0.0099 - 0.3581 0.0789 0.0130 +0.7434 +0.6670 Standard error 0.0014 0.0015 0.0005 - 0.0014 0.0016 0.0018 0.0078 0.0091
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2021 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806052260 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Vegas Cube Action
  Stick -- Thursday, 11 December 2008, at 1:53 p.m.
  • Vegas Cube Action
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 11 December 2008, at 4:31 p.m.
  • Vegas Cube Action
    Martin -- Thursday, 11 December 2008, at 9:05 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 12 December 2008, at 7:05 a.m.