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Now What? White Cube Decision

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 13 December 2008, at 1:45 a.m.

In Response To: Now What? White Cube Decision (Bill Riles)

Can green take this? The gammonless 4-cube takepoint ATS is ~28%. Gammons are worth less than normal when the cube's on 4 at 0/0 in a 5-point match, about 24% (vs. the normal 50%). Recube vig is also less valuable than normal due to oppt's low (16%) 8-cube takepoint. White's 11 deuces are strong as are the 7 PoH'ers. Green's probably in the 15% win range on these 18 numbers. How about the other 18? They (except D6) either hit loose on the ace, make the 3, or make the 7. Green's wins maybe 6.5 of these 18. That's only 9/36 wins which might be enough to take if there were no gammons but Green probably loses a net of 20% gammons here so it looks like a pass to me.

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