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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 14 December 2008, at 8:54 p.m.

In Response To: Even More Vegas Cubes (Stick)

OtB I grudgingly took, and lost after the immediate POH + fan sequence.

The score (after 0 games) is: user 0, gnubg 0 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?

user86


 '1O2X3X3X4X '2X ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O2O3O1O ' ' ' '1X

gnubg78

Position ID: 27YLABDs7hkEAA Match ID: MAHgAQAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5478(Money: +0.5474)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0344 +0.0344
3.No double +0.7945 -0.2055
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.76730.02070.0005-0.23270.00830.0001 +0.5478 +0.7945
Standard error0.00110.00050.0000-0.00110.00070.0000 0.0022 0.0039
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.78130.01860.0003-0.21870.00900.0001 +1.1607 +1.0344
Standard error0.00170.00110.0001-0.00170.00080.0000 0.0069 0.0088
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
415 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806057505 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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