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BGonline.org Forums
Diagrams
Posted By: Keene In Response To: Diagrams (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Monday, 15 December 2008, at 10:23 p.m.
OK, according to my best guesstimates, I have position 1 as a 4 roll position (or transpose to 4 rolls for each side), and position 2 as a 5 roll position. Each roll average is 8 pips, so by playing 8 pips per figurative roll to get in, then whatever its going to take to bear them off.
My reference point here is the 4 roll positions for each side are R/T. So position 1 is a R/P for me, and position 2 is a R/T for me. Just because there are fewer sets that will work as 'bearoff sets' in the short term in position 1 is where you are losing enough equity to make it a pass.
The way I worked it out was to calculate how many rolls to get the stragglers into the homeboard, then how many rolls to bear them off, then the same for blue.
After some brief checking, I can see that my answers are at least half right...
But, nonetheless, this is how I looked at it, and how I would assess it OTB. Although much less precise than Gregg's numbers, I feel its a reasonable way to go about it, and will give you at least a good approximation.
Keene
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