OTB and rollout

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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 15 December 2008, at 11:13 p.m.

In Response To: Stick has told me to play doubles more slowly....so play these routine aces (neilkaz)

OTB it was clear to me that I am a huge fav if I clear from the rear, but I can still lose the race. I lose fewer races if I bear off from my 2 pt and also note that White can't hang around for long. It just seemed right to clear my 2 pt so I did. White entered with 24, I rolled the only blotting shot of 64 and was hit w/21 and danced 4 times losing badly and then doubting my play. Quicky truncated Snowie rollout also has my play as clear.
The score (after 0 games) is: Opponent 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)
Move number 4: neilkaz to play 11

Pip counts: Opponent 53, neilkaz 45
Position ID: 73YAANB22wAAAA Match ID: cIkkAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity

1 R 2/off(2) +0.9067

0.9534 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0466 0.0000 0.0000 +0.9067 +0.9067

0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 0.0016 0.0016

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

589 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812619698 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2 R 6/4(2) +0.8724 ( -0.0343)

0.9362 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0638 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8724 +0.8724

0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0009 0.0009

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

589 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812619698 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3 R 6/4 6/5 3/2 +0.8668 ( -0.0399)

0.9334 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0666 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8668 +0.8668

0.0005 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0005 0.0000 0.0000 0.0011 0.0011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

589 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812619698 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4 R 6/5(2) 1/off(2) +0.8649 ( -0.0418)

0.9324 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0676 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8649 +0.8649

0.0006 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0006 0.0000 0.0000 0.0012 0.0012

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

589 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812619698 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

5 R 6/5(2) 3/1 +0.8556 ( -0.0511)

0.9278 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0722 0.0000 0.0000 +0.8556 +0.8556

0.0006 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0006 0.0000 0.0000 0.0011 0.0011

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

589 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812619698 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

6 4 5/4(2) 1/off(2) +0.8128 ( -0.0939)

0.9064 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0936 0.0000 0.0000