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GNU rollout and comments

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 18 March 2007, at 3:24 p.m.

In Response To: Boring Race Cube - Can you take it? # 2 (Ian Shaw)

I have the huge GNU one sided DB to the midpoint so I get great accuracy from pos like this with a short # of trials.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: user on roll, cube decision?


3X2X5X '1X2X ' ' '1X ' '

2O3O1O3O2O2O '1O1O1X ' '

Pip counts: gnubg 64, user 62
Position ID: t09DEAC7blMAAA Match ID: UQlgAQAAAAAA

• user doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5701(Money: +0.5701)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000 
2.Double, take +1.0352 +0.0352
3.No double +0.8615 -0.1385
Proper cube action:Redouble, pass
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player user owns 2-cube0.78510.00000.0000-0.21490.00000.0000 +0.5701 +0.8615
Standard error0.00010.00000.0000-0.00010.00000.0000 0.0002 0.0030
Player gnubg owns 4-cube0.78510.00000.0000-0.21490.00000.0000 +1.1680 +1.0352
Standard error0.00010.00000.0000-0.00010.00000.0000 0.0006 0.0033
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
170 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1020726168 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

If you move White's checker from the 15 pt to the 13, we are in that database and their is a 4.2 epc difference so, we can safely assume we have about a 6.2 epc diff. in the given pos. I do feel that this race is turn based enough to result in a small pass given a 6.2 epc difference.

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