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I don't understand this position...apparently

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 24 December 2008, at 7:44 p.m.

In Response To: I don't understand this position...apparently (tem_sat)

I'd play 20/15 7/4*.

Duplicating 4s doesn't really duplicate anything, it actually increases White's good rolls. Normally duplication is a shortcut to cut down on the number of good rolls White has. Here White will hit with any 4 or 13 (13 numbers) regardless of which 5 you play. However, by playing 20/15, you duplicate 13 to hit and 43 to hit two, and, very importantly, you take away 44 as a number that hits two checkers. Also as Rich points out you gain 11s to cover on the next roll.

20/15 does give him an extra 11 to hit, but I think that's outweighed by the other factors.

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