[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 18 March 2007, at 9:11 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Problem (Stick)

I got cubed here, and as Chuck suggested, some people may beaver this ;) I certainly did. My board is too strong for Blue to be sending over a cube here. The race is still close for that matter too. Even when Blue rolls something good that POH he's in danger of losing the game immediately to several fly shots. (but since Blue cubed, he won't lose immediately, because I will play on =)

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
120
113
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.192
0.2% 8.5% 60.1% 39.9% 9.4% 0.2%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.192 ±0.008, - live cube no double: 0.369 ±0.013, - live cube double take: 0.180 ±0.021. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 76703 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1. No double 0.307
2. Double, take 0.119 (-0.187)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.693)
Proper cube action: No double, take21%
Live cube
1. No double 0.369
2. Double, take 0.180 (-0.190)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.631)
Proper cube action: No double, take23%

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.