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Rollout

Posted By: Michael Klein
Date: Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 9:59 p.m.

In Response To: Cube? (Stick)

I am sorry that my rollout settings made you gag on your christmas dinner again guys. I am rollout illiterate (obviously). Here is a full cubeful 2-ply rollout, the settings may still not be right though. I am sure you will let me know. Anyhow the result is the same. A shorter 3-ply rollout has it as a double/take as well.

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.400	(Money: +0.389)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.610
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.390
3.	No double	+0.560	-0.049
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.605 0.265 0.002 - 0.395 0.081 0.005 +0.400 +0.560 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.008 Player White owns 2-cube 0.617 0.270 0.002 - 0.383 0.077 0.007 +0.944 +0.610 Standard error 0.001 0.003 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.009 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813387496 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

tr>

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.408	(Money: +0.405)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.623
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.377
3.	No double	+0.556	-0.067
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.610 0.269 0.002 - 0.390 0.082 0.003 +0.408 +0.556 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.007 Player White owns 2-cube 0.619 0.267 0.001 - 0.381 0.078 0.003 +0.945 +0.623 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.008 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
540 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812863308 and quasi-random dice
Play: grandmaster 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
keep the first 0 2-ply moves and up to 2 more moves within equity 0.04
Cube: 3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

Messages In This Thread

• Cube?
  Michael Klein -- Friday, 26 December 2008, at 5:32 p.m.
  • Cube?
    neilkaz -- Friday, 26 December 2008, at 5:52 p.m.
    • Cube?
      Michael Klein -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 1:17 a.m.
      • Cube?
        Stick -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 1:50 a.m.
        • Cube?
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 4:31 a.m.
          • Cube?
            Stick -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 4:46 a.m.
            • Rollout
              Michael Klein -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 9:59 p.m.
              • Rollout
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 10:37 p.m.
              • Rollout
                neilkaz -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 11:10 p.m.
      • Cube?
        neilkaz -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 5:29 a.m.
  • Cube?
    pontiac -- Friday, 26 December 2008, at 6:39 p.m.
  • Cube?
    Caryl Stephanson -- Friday, 26 December 2008, at 7:44 p.m.
  • Cube?
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 26 December 2008, at 8:47 p.m.