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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 28 December 2008, at 9:45 p.m.

In Response To: Do butcher's use cleavers ? (neilkaz)

While I butchered two 13pt matches vs this guy, I still won them both. My intell. had been that this guy was a wild-cube, which he wasn't, and that threw me off this match, and by the 2nd match I was off.. period ! Next time I'll do my own intell..ie check out a couple saved matches played by my opp that a teammate will have.

Anyhow, my opp had made a huge blunder in taking here (by far his worst in 2 matches) and my 54 is a great chance to really put the hurt on him. OTB I recalled this position type and it is important for me to try to put the game away quickly before I get hung up on his bar pt. If I make my 3 pt and he hits I often get a return shot or I can just come in and play and if I ever hit him with my 5 pt board he is screwed. If I make my 3 pt and he doesn't hit, he is hit loose with 5 or 6 and primed with a 4.

I made my 3 pt, he missed and I primed him with 31 and later hit loose and ended up with a G vs one checker closed out since he had quite a few still in his outfield.

The loose hit leaves a gap and leaves things unfinished and the slot doesn't win enough G's.

The score (after 12 games) is: LAT_Ronald 7, neilkaz 7 (match to 13 points)

Move number 16: neilkaz to play 54

Pip counts: LAT_Ronald 135, neilkaz 109
Position ID: Muc4AyBmu0XAAA Match ID: QYmyAXAAOAAA

• neilkaz moves 8/3 7/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	8/3 7/3	+0.8103
			0.7543 0.4148 0.0041 - 0.2457 0.0424 0.0017 +0.9150 +0.8103 0.0018 0.0033 0.0004 - 0.0018 0.0014 0.0004 0.0050 0.0066
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			847 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813688192 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/4 6/1*	+0.7485 ( -0.0619)
			0.7382 0.4046 0.0050 - 0.2618 0.0543 0.0025 +0.8575 +0.7485 0.0019 0.0036 0.0012 - 0.0019 0.0014 0.0007 0.0059 0.0073
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			847 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813688192 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	11/7 8/3	+0.6874 ( -0.1230)
			0.7376 0.3412 0.0053 - 0.2624 0.0497 0.0037 +0.7932 +0.6874 0.0020 0.0035 0.0013 - 0.0020 0.0017 0.0010 0.0055 0.0070
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			847 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813688192 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	4	11/7 6/1*	+0.6850 ( -0.1253)
			0.7155 0.3902 0.0054 - 0.2845 0.0544 0.0017
	5	2	11/6 8/4	+0.6309 ( -0.1794)
			0.7117 0.3498 0.0043 - 0.2883 0.0510 0.0013

Messages In This Thread

• Do butcher's use cleavers ?
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 5:34 a.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 6:33 a.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    Mislav Radica -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 8:28 a.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    pontiac -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 11:02 a.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 3:17 p.m.
    • Roll is 54 Chuck..
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 3:25 p.m.
      • Roll is 54 Chuck..
        Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 4:27 p.m.
        • Roll is 54 Chuck..
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 8:03 p.m.
      • Roll is 54 Chuck..
        Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 28 December 2008, at 3:54 p.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    garyo -- Saturday, 27 December 2008, at 6:14 p.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    Martin -- Sunday, 28 December 2008, at 3:19 p.m.
  • Do butcher's use cleavers ?
    Coolrey -- Sunday, 28 December 2008, at 4:08 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 28 December 2008, at 9:45 p.m.