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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 19 March 2007, at 5:37 p.m.

In Response To: More cubes more cubes (Stick)

OTB I doubled & Mary took. I'd have let this one go, and still would. I figure even if White wasn't on the bar the take wouldn't be the happiest thing in the world. Blue has a huge racing lead and shouldn't have much trouble clearing the points. [esp. if White spends another turn on the bar, which she did] More gammons come out of this than you'd think, when White enters on the 4 or 2 pt. and Blue attacks.

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?

160
106
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout	Money equity:	0.590
	0.2% 19.9% 71.9% 28.1% 4.7% 0.2%
	95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.590 ±0.011, - live cube no double: 0.914 ±0.021, - live cube double take: 0.998 ±0.026. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 40409 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1.	Double, take	0.974
2.	No double	0.876	(-0.098)
3.	Double, pass	1.000	(+0.026)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Live cube
1.	Double, take	0.998
2.	No double	0.914	(-0.084)
3.	Double, pass	1.000	(+0.002)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Messages In This Thread

• More cubes more cubes
  Stick -- Sunday, 18 March 2007, at 9:14 p.m.
  • Re: More cubes more cubes
    mamabear -- Sunday, 18 March 2007, at 11:54 p.m.
    • Re: More cubes more cubes
      Stick -- Monday, 19 March 2007, at 12:14 a.m.
  • Re: More cubes more cubes
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 19 March 2007, at 5:04 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 19 March 2007, at 5:37 p.m.