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ROLLOUT INFO/ More Help Please

Posted By: rummer1973
Date: Thursday, 8 January 2009, at 3:31 p.m.

In Response To: 2 choices here: Hit or HitHit (rummer1973)

I made the four point and got tagged with a -.063 blunder on 3-ply precise analysis (Snowie 4.7.1). That is when I put it on the forum. After reading two of the responses indicating my move was the popular choice, I rolled it out last night to a 1000 each between the to top plays,

A) 16/12*, 6/4* and B) 8/4*, 6/4

Play A is the clear choice as shown below.

The results couldn't be any more shocking to me. This has obviously got to have something to do with the fact that this is DMP, but it is just really surprising to me. Any observations would be very welcome.

3 ply Analysis: 16/12*, 6/4* .066

.7% 16.7% 53.3%

8/4*, 6/4 .003 (-.063)

.6% 14.0% 50.1%

Rollout 16/12*, 6/4* .098

.8% 18.0% 54.9%

8/4*, 6/4 .022 (-.075)

.4% 14.4% 51.1%

I realize that gammons and BGs don't count, I just put that information in there for a point of reference on how to read the percentages.

Also, could someone please inform me how to export from Snowie into this forum as it is a pain to write all the RO information and a pain for you all to read. Thanks...

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