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Long GNU Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 20 March 2007, at 2:02 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Monday March 19th (Stick)

Not the WHopper that some of us, including me suspected. Our game is a bit better than I'd thought, noting I would have been close to beavering for money. However, we just don't have enough market losers.

Note that Stick has minimal recube vig, which is why we are reasonably close to a cube.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 7, ntk 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: ntk on roll, cube decision?

gnubg168


 '1O ' '1X4X1X2X ' ' '3O

1X ' ' '2X5O '4O '2O '4X

ntk144

Position ID: 0GvwgCHg84wDEA Match ID: cAlgAXAAAAAA

• ntk doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.067)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.292(Money: +0.248)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.535 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.465
3.Double, take +0.468 -0.067
Proper cube action:No double, take (12.5%)
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.5920.1530.004-0.4080.0860.007 +0.292 +0.535
Standard error0.0020.0020.000-0.0020.0020.001 0.005 0.011
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.5930.1520.003-0.4070.0820.010 +0.556 +0.468
Standard error0.0020.0020.000-0.0020.0020.002 0.011 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1571 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1020563069 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

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