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NYC Masters Round #1 Play #1 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:14 a.m.

In Response To: NYC Masters Round #1 Play #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Between the inside-the-board plays it makes almost no difference. The question is whether or not to clear the 10 point or not.

At first it looked like clearing the 10 might be an error, but now it is way TCTC between clearing the 10 and just playing inside. The race is 8 after the roll which is just close enough that the plays are about tied.

My play of 6/4 5/4 was winning the rollout over 6/3 but it doesn't make a difference what I play here.

The score (after 1 game) is: Ray Fogerlund 0, Matt Cohn-Geier 8 (match to 11 points)

Move number 19: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 21

Ray Fogerlund122


 ' '2X3X '2X2X2X ' ' '2O

 ' ' '1O3O3O2X2O2O2O '2X

Matt Cohn-Geier117

Position ID: 7GyDwQDozjYGAA Match ID: cAllAQAAQAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 6/4 5/4

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 10/9 10/8 +0.1258
0.58280.01090.0008-0.41720.00760.0002 +0.1642 +0.1258
0.00020.00020.0001-0.00020.00010.0000 0.0005 0.0008
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
19916 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809540655 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 6/3 +0.1256 ( -0.0002)
0.58320.01110.0008-0.41680.00860.0002 +0.1639 +0.1256
0.00020.00020.0001-0.00020.00020.0000 0.0005 0.0009
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
19916 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809540655 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 2 6/4 5/4 +0.1724 ( +0.0466)
0.6012 0.0151 0.0003 - 0.3988 0.0113 0.0001

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