BGonline.org Forums

Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Monday, 19 January 2009, at 4:47 p.m.

In Response To: Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte (Sam Pottle)

Well just a 1 digit error. But I guess the hundreds digit is one of those "significant:" ones. OOPS!

Redoing the math using all the same assuptions brings my estimate down from 34.5% to 31.2%. However, I think I was not as generous to green as I should have been trading off green's wins when missing the shot vs. green's losses after hitting and closing out. I figured 2% extra wins. This is probably more than 3%. So I think Green is still over 32% to win here. Add to that a few gammon kills as Neil mentioned by cubing and I think it is still a cube. But close.

Of course if I think I've got a skill advantage over my opponent, my effective doubling window is probably higher than what this position offers which would make it No Redouble. Similarly, if I'm playing a stronger opponent, best to put it all on the line in the crap shoot here.

Messages In This Thread

• Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
  Bill Riles -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 3:24 a.m.
  • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte -- OTB
    Bill Riles -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 3:52 a.m.
    • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte -- OTB
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 6:45 a.m.
  • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
    Rich Munitz -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 4:34 a.m.
    • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
      neilkaz -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 5:09 a.m.
    • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
      Sam Pottle -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 8:05 a.m.
      • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
        Rich Munitz -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 4:47 p.m.
  • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
    garyo -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:21 a.m.
  • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 6:56 p.m.
    • Still trying to do the math
      Tad Bright -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:41 p.m.
      • Still trying to do the math
        John O'Hagan -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:48 p.m.
      • Still trying to do the math
        Bill Riles -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:49 p.m.
    • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 20 January 2009, at 9:56 a.m.
      • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
        Stick -- Tuesday, 20 January 2009, at 10:01 a.m.
        • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
          Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 20 January 2009, at 8:01 p.m.
          • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
            neilkaz -- Tuesday, 20 January 2009, at 8:06 p.m.
  • Much Debated Cube Action from Charlotte
    Stick -- Tuesday, 20 January 2009, at 9:32 a.m.