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Short rollout same as long one..and OTB

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:10 p.m.

In Response To: Gammon Hungry play #1 (neilkaz)

OTB I do recall using a bit more than a minute of my time. The loose hit seemed to be very close to correct to me and I almost made that play. I also recall from similar positions that taking two checkers off is a strong contender here since I will take off two more if my next roll blots and it's then quite hard to lose the game.

Anyhow, I finally wimped and played safely with 4/off 5/3 not seeing all that many G's anyhow and realizing that I could lose vs a 3 pt board. After my safe play Rob rolled 11 and played 15/11 and I rolled 33 (no swing :) which will lead to my next position. On this magical lucky weekend, the dice rewarded me for good decision or bad, it seemed.

The short rollout is the same as the 15,000 game rollout I lost by missclicking. (User unfriendly GNU) In 15,000 games safe was about .010 behind, and hitting was 1.5 jsd superior to ripping two.

The score (after 0 games) is: Rod 0, neilkaz 6 (match to 13 points)

Move number 10: neilkaz to play 24

Pip counts: Rod 64, neilkaz 39
Position ID: v7sACCBudwAAAA Match ID: QQmxAQAAMAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	5/1* 2/off	+1.0797
			0.9550 0.1904 0.0040 - 0.0450 0.0000 0.0000 +1.1003 +1.0797 0.0008 0.0015 0.0004 - 0.0008 0.0000 0.0000 0.0019 0.0024
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			499 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 811506438 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	4/off 2/off	+1.0794 ( -0.0003)
			0.9775 0.1337 0.0043 - 0.0225 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0896 +1.0794 0.0007 0.0016 0.0003 - 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 0.0020 0.0024
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			499 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 811506438 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	5/3 4/off	+1.0715 ( -0.0082)
			0.9888 0.0994 0.0015 - 0.0112 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0766 +1.0715 0.0006 0.0014 0.0002 - 0.0006 0.0000 0.0000 0.0014 0.0015
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			500 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 811506438 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	5/1* 3/1	+0.9254 ( -0.1543)
			0.9111 0.1530 0.0017 - 0.0889 0.0000 0.0000
	5	0	5/1* 4/2	+0.9015 ( -0.1783)
			0.9037 0.1475 0.0020 - 0.0963 0.0000 0.0000

Messages In This Thread

• Gammon Hungry play #1
  neilkaz -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 5:02 a.m.
  • Gammon Hungry play #1
    Neil Robins -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 9:20 a.m.
    • Gammon Hungry play #1
      John O'Hagan -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 3:56 p.m.
  • Short rollout same as long one..and OTB
    neilkaz -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:10 p.m.
    • Short rollout same as long one..and OTB
      tem_sat -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 7:55 p.m.
      • Short rollout same as long one..and OTB
        neilkaz -- Monday, 19 January 2009, at 8:06 p.m.
        • Ok...Both right--Rollout done
          tem_sat -- Tuesday, 20 January 2009, at 3:12 p.m.