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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 21 March 2007, at 6:25 p.m.

In Response To: Roof Cube? (Stick)

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
164
139
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.404
3.3% 30.7% 59.6% 40.4% 12.1% 0.8%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.404 ±0.016, - live cube no double: 0.465 ±0.027, - live cube double take: 0.498 ±0.043. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 31016 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1. Double, take 0.513
2. No double 0.494 (-0.019)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.487)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Live cube
1. Double, take 0.498
2. No double 0.465 (-0.034)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.502)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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