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Neil's Numbers Redux

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 22 January 2009, at 11:34 p.m.

In Response To: Neil's Numbers Redux (Tad Bright)

Neil's Numbers are for Kit's MET and should get within 1% of the value in his table. To better fit something modern like g11, use 7.5 for 4 and 5 pt matches and don't change anything else.

Memorize Crawford and 2 away scores. Don't use Neil's Numbers for those scores.

Better yet, memorize the 5 pt match table (or even 7 pt) and use Neil's Numbers for longer matches, where I feel they are accurate enough.

Also for a huge lead with percentages well above 90, reduce the lead somewhat.. ..ie NN for 15 pts is 4 but a 12-0 lead to 15 is not as much as 98%.

.. neilkaz ..

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