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3 pt game sends me off to BK ?

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 24 January 2009, at 1:45 p.m.

In Response To: 3 pt game sends me off to BK ? (neilkaz)

Playing like a moron all weekend, I somehow talked myself into thinking this was a borderline drop/take and gave Matt a point, which is a 0.18 Whopper.

My initial reaction was, Take..as a 3 pt game vs that structure usually is a take, but then I see my mid pt going and then maybe my home board weakens. All this may happen, but Matt's position also won't often hold up.

I have plenty of ways to win this game,and while none are terribly likely, togther they add up to a solid take.

The score (after 1 game) is: Neil Kazaross 0, Matt Cohn-Geier 2 (match to 11 points)

Move number 18: Matt Cohn-Geier on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Neil Kazaross 111, Matt Cohn-Geier 108
Position ID: bduAAQy4nRsGAA Match ID: cAlgAQAAEAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0167)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4905	(Money: +0.4914)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.8366
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1634
3.	Double, take	+0.8199	-0.0167
Proper cube action:		No double, take (9.3%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7358 0.0383 0.0008 - 0.2642 0.0190 0.0003 +0.4905 +0.8366 Standard error 0.0006 0.0006 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0005 0.0000 0.0014 0.0036 Player Neil Kazaross owns 2-cube 0.7399 0.0367 0.0009 - 0.2601 0.0159 0.0003 +1.0049 +0.8199 Standard error 0.0007 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0007 0.0005 0.0001 0.0032 0.0042
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2595 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 810752960 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 3 pt game sends me off to BK ?
  neilkaz -- Friday, 23 January 2009, at 4:16 a.m.
  • 3 pt game sends me off to BK ?
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 23 January 2009, at 8:42 a.m.
  • 3 pt game sends me off to BK ?
    Martin -- Friday, 23 January 2009, at 3:09 p.m.
  • 3 pt game sends me off to BK ?
    Stick -- Friday, 23 January 2009, at 3:29 p.m.
  • 3 pt game sends me off to BK ?
    Bob Koca -- Friday, 23 January 2009, at 3:31 p.m.
  • 3 pt game sends me off to BK ?
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 24 January 2009, at 1:45 p.m.
    • Rollout above-nm
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 24 January 2009, at 1:47 p.m.