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MCG vs. Neil Cube action ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 10:47 a.m.

In Response To: MCG vs. Neil Cube action? (Matt Cohn-Geier)

So, after careful consideration I got this one wrong; at the score it's ND/T.

Somewhat hard for me to understand as I win 69% singles with 35% gammons which usually indicates a pretty strong position but Neil's recube vig is enormous at the score. I still felt this cube would be better than it is. Oh well.

Rollout for money is in the oven, TCTC right now.

The score (after 4 games) is: Neil Kazaross 1, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 11: Matt Cohn-Geier on roll, cube decision?

Neil Kazaross	135
Matt Cohn-Geier	119
Position ID: Ms/gAwKzmcHBAA Match ID: cAlgARAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.6250	(Money: +0.6268)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6995
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3005
3.	Double, take	+0.6415	-0.0580
Proper cube action:		No double, take (16.2%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6861 0.3142 0.0077 - 0.3139 0.0649 0.0023 +0.6250 +0.6995 Standard error 0.0011 0.0029 0.0012 - 0.0011 0.0010 0.0002 0.0041 0.0068 Player Neil Kazaross owns 2-cube 0.6914 0.3467 0.0128 - 0.3086 0.0659 0.0022 +1.0501 +0.6415 Standard error 0.0015 0.0058 0.0022 - 0.0015 0.0014 0.0003 0.0124 0.0151
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1933 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 811283548 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.24 (min. 1296 games)
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 6:39 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 6:53 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    Neil Robins -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 7:00 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    sal pittelli -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 9:07 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 9:31 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 10:08 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 10:26 p.m.
    • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
      Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 12:50 a.m.
    • John - comments on the rollouts?
      Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:35 p.m.
      • John - comments on the rollouts?
        John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 5:36 a.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    phlegethos -- Sunday, 25 January 2009, at 11:46 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    Keene -- Monday, 26 January 2009, at 3:34 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action?
    Martin -- Monday, 26 January 2009, at 4:26 p.m.
  • My thoughts OTB
    neilkaz -- Monday, 26 January 2009, at 8:55 p.m.
    • My thoughts OTB
      Rich Munitz -- Monday, 26 January 2009, at 9:09 p.m.
  • OTB thoughts
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 26 January 2009, at 9:33 p.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action ROLLOUT
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 10:47 a.m.
    • MCG vs. Neil Cube action ROLLOUT
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 4:32 p.m.
      • MCG vs. Neil Cube action ROLLOUT
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 10:19 p.m.
        • MCG vs. Neil Cube action ROLLOUT
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:11 a.m.
          • MCG vs. Neil Cube action ROLLOUT
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:28 a.m.
  • MCG vs. Neil Cube action Money RO
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 4:47 a.m.