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Re: Rollout(s)

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 22 March 2007, at 4:14 p.m.

In Response To: Re: Rollout(s) (Geoff Arnold)

In short, and I just woke up, one fourth [not one third] of the games I win are gammons. You also have to offset that with any gammon wins you have, which you have roughly 6%. So if I win roughly 26% gammons out of the 66% of the games I win, 6% of those are offset by the gammons you win, making the gammons won by me essentially 20%, or 1/5th, of my wins. For every 2% in gammons lost you need 1% more games won to swing a take. Normally, ignoring recube vig, you'd need 25% to take from a position. If I win 20% gammons that ups the ante to 35% wins that you need excluding recube vig. Here you win almost 35%, kick in the recube vig it's a clear take. Your recubes here are very powerful -- gaining you a lot in match (and killing my gammons).

Stick

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