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Double for the match?

Posted By: Philippe Michel
Date: Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 9:54 p.m.

In Response To: Double for the match? (Tad Bright)

No double.

As Bill Riles wrote, gammons allow you to win "safely" with the cube still at 2 and make your doubling window open higher.

Let's suppose you always win if you hit and always lose a single game if you miss :

double : MWC = 55%

no double with 10% gammons wins for you : MWC = (55% -10%) x 75% + 10% x 100% + 45% x 25% = 55%. Borderline ND/D. Each 1% of gammons brings 0.25% of MWC.

With comfortable timing, you have good chances to pick the second checker if you hit the first one and should win much more than 10% gammons for a MWC somewhat higher than 55%.

Messages In This Thread

• Double for the match?
  Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:18 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Stick -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:37 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Frank_N_Stein -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 7:05 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 7:45 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:52 p.m.
      • Double for the match?
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Philippe Michel -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 9:54 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 10:32 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Stick -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 12:10 a.m.
      • Double for the match?
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 8:11 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:08 a.m.
      • Double for the match?
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 3:57 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    jdg -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 6:22 p.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 29 January 2009, at 9:01 p.m.