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Double for the match?

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 3:57 p.m.

In Response To: Double for the match? (Bob Koca)

Agree on all points. Though remember that blue probably retains about 1% shot equity in addition to any racing chances. And blue's losing chances after the hit is probably at or below 3%. Ultimately I did not think any of these factors change the results. I thought my biggest risk of error was in estimating gammon chances (as per Stick's post).

Reality is otb I don't cube this against anyone but a WC player since I'll take my chances with a longer match.

Messages In This Thread

• Double for the match?
  Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:18 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Stick -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:37 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Frank_N_Stein -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 7:05 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 7:45 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:52 p.m.
      • Double for the match?
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Philippe Michel -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 9:54 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 10:32 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Stick -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 12:10 a.m.
      • Double for the match?
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 8:11 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:08 a.m.
      • Double for the match?
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 3:57 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    jdg -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 6:22 p.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 29 January 2009, at 9:01 p.m.