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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 29 January 2009, at 9:01 p.m.

In Response To: Double for the match? (Tad Bright)

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, ntk 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 5: ntk on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	37
ntk	101
Position ID: 33sSAADbtgEQBg Match ID: UQlgAAAAAAAA

• ntk doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0347)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3505	(Money: +0.3692)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.3747
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.6253
3.	Double, take	+0.3400	-0.0347
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (5.3%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player ntk owns 2-cube 0.5790 0.2119 0.0174 - 0.4210 0.0182 0.0000 +0.3505 +0.3747 Standard error 0.0004 0.0031 0.0023 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000 0.0033 0.0034 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.5853 0.2212 0.0081 - 0.4147 0.1404 0.0000 +0.3400 +0.3400 Standard error 0.0004 0.0067 0.0014 - 0.0004 0.0069 0.0001 0.0014 0.0014
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1622 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 816646126 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Double for the match?
  Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:18 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Stick -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 6:37 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Frank_N_Stein -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 7:05 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 7:45 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:52 p.m.
      • Double for the match?
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Philippe Michel -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 9:54 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 27 January 2009, at 10:32 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Stick -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 12:10 a.m.
      • Double for the match?
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 8:11 p.m.
    • Double for the match?
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 1:08 a.m.
      • Double for the match?
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 3:57 p.m.
  • Double for the match?
    jdg -- Wednesday, 28 January 2009, at 6:22 p.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 29 January 2009, at 9:01 p.m.