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Working Out Probability of Winning Match Games

Posted By: Sam Pottle
Date: Friday, 30 January 2009, at 11:52 a.m.

In Response To: Working Out Probability of Winning Match Games (Carly Robson)

How strong your opponents are might play a role, too.

Here is an explanation of the ratings formula:

http://www.bkgm.com/articles/McCool/ratings.html

According to the formula, the relationship between winning chance and match length is this: multiplying the match length by four squares your advantage. That is, if you are a k-to-1 favorite in an N point match, you will be a k^2-to-1 favorite in a 4N point match.

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