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NY Masters Cube Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 8:16 p.m.

In Response To: NY Masters Cube (Matt Cohn-Geier)

To be fair, I did at least see that doubling was an option.

The rollout reduces the error of my NRD decision from the eval's BK land to merely very large error.

Still not sure I really understand score-based BG.

The score (after 3 games) is: Falafel 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 1 (match to 11 points)

Move number 21: Matt Cohn-Geier on roll, cube decision?

Falafel	115
Matt Cohn-Geier	127
Position ID: btuAASjYnU0gIA Match ID: UQlgAVAACAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 6/1* 5/1

Alert: missed double ( -0.0717)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.1190	(Money: -0.0182)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.5565
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4435
3.	No double	+0.4848	-0.0717
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Matt Cohn-Geier owns 2-cube 0.5182 0.1958 0.0101 - 0.4818 0.2328 0.0277 +0.1190 +0.4848 Standard error 0.0017 0.0016 0.0004 - 0.0017 0.0026 0.0023 0.0053 0.0085 Player Falafel owns 4-cube 0.5208 0.1948 0.0083 - 0.4792 0.2365 0.0518 +0.5946 +0.5565 Standard error 0.0013 0.0013 0.0004 - 0.0013 0.0021 0.0030 0.0070 0.0074
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2922 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 816179564 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.24 (min. 1296 games)
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

There was some various hitting from the roof for both sides, I recubed here, Falafel dropped.

The score (after 3 games) is: Falafel 5, Matt Cohn-Geier 1 (match to 11 points)

Move number 25: Matt Cohn-Geier on roll, cube decision?

Falafel	131
Matt Cohn-Geier	114
Position ID: tm2EABxjm00CIA Match ID: UQlgAVAACAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4685	(Money: +0.4311)
	0.6434 0.2238 0.0091 - 0.3566 0.0867 0.0019
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.2200	+0.2200
3.	No double	+0.8403	-0.1597
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass

 

Messages In This Thread

• NY Masters Cube
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 1:26 a.m.
  • NY Masters Cube
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 2:50 a.m.
    • NY Masters Cube
      Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 8:08 p.m.
  • NY Masters Cube
    Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 5:16 a.m.
  • NY Masters Cube
    Coolrey -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 8:12 a.m.
    • NY Masters Cube
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 8:25 p.m.
  • NY Masters Cube
    Stick -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 8:57 a.m.
  • NY Masters Cube
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 2:50 p.m.
  • NY Masters Cube Rollout
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 8:16 p.m.
    • NY Masters Cube Rollout
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 9:35 p.m.
      • NY Masters Cube Rollout
        Rich Munitz -- Saturday, 7 February 2009, at 11:33 p.m.
        • NY Masters Cube Rollout
          Perry Gartner -- Sunday, 8 February 2009, at 5:00 p.m.