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Another Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 11 February 2009, at 1:29 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Havard Raddum)

Perhaps the settings do matter. Still plenty of variance but a clear pass.

The score (after 4 games) is: Stick 0, Readers 9 (match to 17 points)

Move number 9: Stick on roll, cube decision?

Stick	125
Readers	134
Position ID: LM/BAyDYPYPBAA Match ID: MAEgAgAASAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5569	(Money: +0.5517)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0872	+0.0872
3.	No double	+0.8726	-0.1274
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6725 0.2703 0.0049 - 0.3275 0.0663 0.0021 +0.5569 +0.8726 Standard error 0.0025 0.0039 0.0007 - 0.0025 0.0026 0.0006 0.0072 0.0145 Player Readers owns 2-cube 0.6855 0.2855 0.0030 - 0.3145 0.0647 0.0024 +1.2092 +1.0872 Standard error 0.0030 0.0055 0.0010 - 0.0030 0.0036 0.0008 0.0177 0.0208
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
325 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817049110 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
  Stick -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 10:55 a.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Peter G. -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 12:03 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Barry Silliman -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 12:36 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Havard Raddum -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 12:47 p.m.
    • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 3:10 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    jdg -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 3:02 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 3:18 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 3:19 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 3:21 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    MandM1951 -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 4:33 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 6:33 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 7:29 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    misja -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 8:09 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 10:20 p.m.
  • OLM Tues. Feb. 10th
    Caryl Stephanson -- Tuesday, 10 February 2009, at 10:51 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Havard Raddum -- Wednesday, 11 February 2009, at 9:40 a.m.
    • Another Rollout
      Stick -- Wednesday, 11 February 2009, at 1:29 p.m.
      • LONG rollout
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 11 February 2009, at 3:30 p.m.
        • $$$ rollout
          neilkaz -- Wednesday, 11 February 2009, at 9:02 p.m.