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NY Doubles Finals Cube #1 Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Monday, 16 February 2009, at 6:44 p.m.

In Response To: NY Doubles Finals Cube #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

We cubed immediately, Petko immediately stood up. Then Ray & him talked it over and decided to take it. After the game everyone was pretty convinced that it was a clear take and some questioned the cube...I wasn't 100% that it was a take but obvious, obvious cube. That, and a pretty clear pass. White crashes too much and has too many problems limping three checkers through the outfield.

The score (after 0 games) is: Ray-Petko 0, MCG-CJC 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 27: MCG-CJC on roll, cube decision?

Ray-Petko	101
MCG-CJC	97
Position ID: t54BAAduNpuAAA Match ID: UQngAAAAAAAA

• MCG-CJC doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5967	(Money: +0.5934)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0728	+0.0728
3.	No double	+0.9417	-0.0583
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player MCG-CJC owns 2-cube 0.7631 0.0766 0.0011 - 0.2369 0.0104 0.0000 +0.5967 +0.9417 Standard error 0.0004 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0004 0.0005 0.0000 0.0007 0.0016 Player Ray-Petko owns 4-cube 0.7777 0.0718 0.0022 - 0.2223 0.0136 0.0001 +1.2626 +1.0728 Standard error 0.0005 0.0008 0.0002 - 0.0005 0.0009 0.0000 0.0023 0.0028
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4769 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817571502 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless MWC		57.678%	(Money: +0.5934)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	62.867%
2.	Double, take	63.803%	0.936%
3.	No double	62.116%	-0.751%
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player MCG-CJC owns 2-cube 0.7631 0.0766 0.0011 - 0.2369 0.0104 0.0000 57.678% 62.116% Standard error 0.0004 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0004 0.0005 0.0000 0.009% 0.021% Player Ray-Petko owns 4-cube 0.7777 0.0718 0.0022 - 0.2223 0.0136 0.0001 66.246% 63.803% Standard error 0.0005 0.0008 0.0002 - 0.0005 0.0009 0.0000 0.030% 0.037%
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4769 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817571502 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 15 February 2009, at 5:37 a.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Sunday, 15 February 2009, at 9:34 a.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
    Martin -- Sunday, 15 February 2009, at 10:08 a.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 15 February 2009, at 2:32 p.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 15 February 2009, at 4:36 p.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
    pontiac -- Sunday, 15 February 2009, at 4:51 p.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1
    garyo -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 6:29 a.m.
  • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1 Rollout
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 6:44 p.m.
    • NY Doubles Finals Cube #1 Rollout
      neilkaz -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 7:50 p.m.