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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 17 February 2009, at 1:51 a.m.

In Response To: This 53 is awkward (neilkaz)

OTB I saw that breaking the board was too weak at this score, but failed to make the best play anyhow and left a 3 shot. If I make the 10 pt my opp will cringe with any hit that doesn't cover and I will often force some wastage and be able to clear with a fine advantage.

The score (after 9 games) is: Tony_Alonely 6, neilkaz 5 (match to 7 points, Crawford game)

Move number 25: neilkaz to play 53

Pip counts: Tony_Alonely 84, neilkaz 84
Position ID: 180JwABbtwETAA Match ID: 8InuAGAAKAAA

• neilkaz moves 15/10 6/3

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.075)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	15/10 13/10	+0.2511
			0.6117 0.0139 0.0013 - 0.3883 0.0232 0.0003 +0.2511 +0.2511 0.0011 0.0012 0.0005 - 0.0011 0.0023 0.0002 0.0011 0.0011
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2502 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817709127 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	6/3 6/1	+0.1896 ( -0.0615)
			0.5791 0.0157 0.0006 - 0.4209 0.0305 0.0001 +0.1896 +0.1896 0.0006 0.0004 0.0008 - 0.0006 0.0024 0.0001 0.0013 0.0013
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2502 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817709127 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	15/10 6/3	+0.1757 ( -0.0754)
			0.5625 0.0254 0.0011 - 0.4375 0.0562 0.0001 +0.1757 +0.1757 0.0007 0.0006 0.0004 - 0.0007 0.0034 0.0001 0.0016 0.0016
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2503 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817709127 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/5	+0.1720 ( -0.0791)
			0.5306 0.0554 0.0017 - 0.4694 0.0732 0.0012
	5	2	15/10 4/1	+0.1625 ( -0.0886)
			0.5547 0.0266 0.0002 - 0.4453 0.0325 0.0004

Messages In This Thread

• This 53 is awkward
  neilkaz -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 4:02 a.m.
  • This 53 is awkward
    Dan Pelton -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 4:06 a.m.
  • This 53 is awkward
    Bill Riles -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 5:16 a.m.
  • This 53 is awkward
    garyo -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 6:12 a.m.
  • This 53 is awkward
    pontiac -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 12:17 p.m.
  • This 53 is awkward
    Keene -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 4:21 p.m.
    • This 53 is awkward
      Rich Munitz -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 8:37 p.m.
  • This 53 is awkward
    Martin -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 9:30 p.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 17 February 2009, at 1:51 a.m.