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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 17 February 2009, at 6:07 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Mon. Feb. 16th (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 2, ntk 9 (match to 17 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	86
ntk	99
Position ID: m3MHIEBvbgMADA Match ID: MAEgAiAASAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4681	(Money: +0.4718)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7783
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2217
3.	No double	+0.5429	-0.2353
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6747 0.1741 0.0017 - 0.3253 0.0525 0.0008 +0.4681 +0.5429 Standard error 0.0009 0.0012 0.0002 - 0.0009 0.0009 0.0002 0.0020 0.0041 Player ntk owns 2-cube 0.6816 0.1713 0.0017 - 0.3184 0.0514 0.0014 +0.9391 +0.7783 Standard error 0.0009 0.0014 0.0003 - 0.0009 0.0010 0.0005 0.0045 0.0064
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1869 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817061893 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
  Stick -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 2:27 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    neilkaz -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 2:33 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    Jason Lee -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 2:59 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    misja -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 3:29 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    jdg -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 4:16 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    pontiac -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 4:35 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    garyo -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 6:04 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    MandM1951 -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 6:14 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 8:20 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    Martin -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 9:42 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    Tad Bright -- Monday, 16 February 2009, at 9:55 p.m.
  • OLM Mon. Feb. 16th
    Barry Silliman -- Tuesday, 17 February 2009, at 3:07 a.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 17 February 2009, at 6:07 p.m.