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OLM Wed. Feb. 18th - Cube

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Thursday, 19 February 2009, at 12:06 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Wed. Feb. 18th - Cube (Rich Munitz)

If Stick rewhips to 8 immediately, the math works out to 0%/14%/55%, putting Stick's takepoint at 14/69 which is roughly 20%. So if Stick wins 20% of games here he should take as our gammons are virtually meaningless (and note that he can lower this takepoint further by not auto-rewhipping). Do we win close to 80%? That seems very high to me against Stick's 4 point board, our 5 point open, and two checkers to scamper around the outfield. Yes, we will win a fair number of gammons, which isn't good enough.

ND/T at this score IMHO. Putting myself in Stick's shoes...it depends on who I'm playing, but if it's a WC player, I am far more than happy to get my hands on an 8 cube here.

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