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BGonline.org Forums
Staggering home Another Rollout
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Staggering home (Martin)
Date: Thursday, 19 February 2009, at 2:28 a.m.
Rolled out with initial position on so that White cannot throw a (hitting) set from the roof. 18/17 15/14 3/2*(2) still clearly wins over the double hit, 18/16 3/2*(2) is over .05 back.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 2, Blue 4 (match to 5 points, post-Crawford play)
Move number 5: Blue to play 11
White 102
Blue 49 Position ID: t7kBIBLMAEQAAA Match ID: UYmkACAAIAAA
• Blue moves 18/17 15/14 3/2*(2)
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 18/17 15/14 3/2*(2) +0.2230
0.6115 0.3374 0.0866 - 0.3885 0.0000 0.0000 +0.2230 +0.2230 0.0015 0.0038 0.0032 - 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0029 0.0029 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2990 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 817802890 Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.24 (min. 1296 games) Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 5/4*(2) 3/2*(2) +0.2081 ( -0.0149)
0.6041 0.3524 0.1136 - 0.3959 0.0000 0.0000 +0.2081 +0.2081 0.0015 0.0038 0.0034 - 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0030 0.0030 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2990 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 817802890 Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 18/16 5/4*(2) +0.1791 ( -0.0439)
0.5895 0.3306 0.1161 - 0.4105 0.0000 0.0000 +0.1791 +0.1791 0.0014 0.0040 0.0035 - 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 0.0028 0.0028 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2990 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 817802890 Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 18/17 15/14 5/4*(2) +0.1746 ( -0.0484)
0.5873 0.3186 0.1098 - 0.4127 0.0000 0.0000 +0.1746 +0.1746 0.0014 0.0036 0.0034 - 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 0.0029 0.0029 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2990 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 817802890 Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R 18/16 3/2*(2) +0.1711 ( -0.0518)
0.5856 0.3208 0.0759 - 0.4144 0.0000 0.0000 +0.1711 +0.1711 0.0015 0.0039 0.0030 - 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0029 0.0029 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2990 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 817802890 Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 6 R 3/2*/1(2) +0.1129 ( -0.1101)
0.5564 0.2893 0.0686 - 0.4436 0.0000 0.0000 +0.1129 +0.1129 0.0014 0.0036 0.0027 - 0.0014 0.0000 0.0000 0.0029 0.0029 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2990 games, rollout as initial position, Mersenne Twister dice generator with seed 817802890 Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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