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Rollut with my actual 1-0 lead

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 23 February 2009, at 4:45 p.m.

In Response To: Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action. (neilkaz)

OTB I was sure that I had a clear money recube but felt that this cube was rather gamey at the score since I am puking if he closes me out and sends it back at 8. Muttering that BG is a gambling game, I sent it over and after he took I rolled boxes and G'd him. Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good, noting the big difference between 0-0 and 1-0 here.

The score (after 0 games) is: Petko 0, neilkaz 1 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Petko 104, neilkaz 30
Position ID: s9sBUAT3AQABAA Match ID: UQlgAQAACAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0357)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5599	(Money: +0.5523)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6430
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3570
3.	Double, take	+0.6073	-0.0357
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (9.1%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player neilkaz owns 2-cube 0.6303 0.2895 0.0022 - 0.3697 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5599 +0.6430 Standard error 0.0005 0.0007 0.0001 - 0.0005 0.0000 0.0000 0.0011 0.0017 Player Petko owns 4-cube 0.6284 0.2995 0.0025 - 0.3716 0.0000 0.0000 +1.0590 +0.6073 Standard error 0.0005 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0005 0.0000 0.0000 0.0024 0.0035
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814362112 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 21 February 2009, at 9:44 p.m.
  • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 21 February 2009, at 10:16 p.m.
  • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 22 February 2009, at 1:15 a.m.
    • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
      Coolrey -- Monday, 23 February 2009, at 9:34 a.m.
      • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
        Barry Silliman -- Thursday, 26 February 2009, at 12:08 a.m.
        • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
          jdg -- Thursday, 26 February 2009, at 3:08 p.m.
          • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
            Barry Silliman -- Friday, 27 February 2009, at 3:16 a.m.
  • Rollut with my actual 1-0 lead
    neilkaz -- Monday, 23 February 2009, at 4:45 p.m.
    • Rollut with my actual 1-0 lead
      Coolrey -- Wednesday, 25 February 2009, at 7:13 p.m.
  • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
    tem_sat -- Monday, 23 February 2009, at 8:12 p.m.
    • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 12:44 a.m.
      • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
        Coolrey -- Wednesday, 25 February 2009, at 7:30 p.m.
  • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
    joe freedman -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:00 p.m.
    • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:10 p.m.
      • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
        joe freedman -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:58 p.m.