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Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:00 p.m.

In Response To: Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action. (neilkaz)

Intuitively, it does not seem that you would have a double at 0-0 but not 1-0. After all, winning 8 pts at 1-0 puts you at 2 away. Is there some conceptual point I'm missing?

I'm also not sure that the GNU rollouts can be trusted here. One would expect that cubing would increase your gammon percentage, as you will win gammons in some games where you would have cashed as a 2-cube owner. But cubing to 4 should also increase Viktor's winning percentage, as he only has to get to ~75% to cash, whereas you will need to play until 100%. GNU's rollouts do not seem to reflect that. For example, in the 0-0 situation, it shows Viktor winning 36.91% (cubeful) if you hold the cube at 2; and 36.94% if you cube to 4. But wouldn't cube ownership give him more than a 0.03% improvement, given that your take point of an 8 cube is roughly 25%?

Joe

Messages In This Thread

• Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 21 February 2009, at 9:44 p.m.
  • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 21 February 2009, at 10:16 p.m.
  • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 22 February 2009, at 1:15 a.m.
    • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
      Coolrey -- Monday, 23 February 2009, at 9:34 a.m.
      • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
        Barry Silliman -- Thursday, 26 February 2009, at 12:08 a.m.
        • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
          jdg -- Thursday, 26 February 2009, at 3:08 p.m.
          • QF or not ? Rollout at even score
            Barry Silliman -- Friday, 27 February 2009, at 3:16 a.m.
  • Rollut with my actual 1-0 lead
    neilkaz -- Monday, 23 February 2009, at 4:45 p.m.
    • Rollut with my actual 1-0 lead
      Coolrey -- Wednesday, 25 February 2009, at 7:13 p.m.
  • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
    tem_sat -- Monday, 23 February 2009, at 8:12 p.m.
    • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 12:44 a.m.
      • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
        Coolrey -- Wednesday, 25 February 2009, at 7:30 p.m.
  • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
    joe freedman -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:00 p.m.
    • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:10 p.m.
      • Rd 3 in Pit vs Petko recube action.
        joe freedman -- Tuesday, 24 February 2009, at 11:58 p.m.