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First round Doubles 23 Rollout
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: First round Doubles 23 (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Saturday, 28 February 2009, at 7:10 a.m.
Top three plays are TCTC, need extended. My first instinct was 24/21 13/11 but I decided that wasn't necessary and settled on 24/22 13/10. We didn't actually look at 24/22 24/21. I still hate breaking the 11 point.
The score (after 4 games) is: Petko/Michael Edge 2, Matt Cohn-Geier/Stick 5 (match to 7 points)
Move number 5: Matt Cohn-Geier/Stick to play 32
Petko/Michael Edge 155
Matt Cohn-Geier/Stick 159 Position ID: 4PPEAQywZ8wBMA Match ID: cInpACAAKAAA
• Matt Cohn-Geier/Stick moves 24/22 11/8
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 24/22 24/21 -0.0248
0.5296 0.1597 0.0194 - 0.4704 0.1267 0.0045 +0.0842 -0.0248 0.0017 0.0032 0.0019 - 0.0017 0.0014 0.0002 0.0069 0.0090 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1821 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 24/22 13/10 -0.0368 ( -0.0120)
0.5254 0.1694 0.0176 - 0.4746 0.1298 0.0052 +0.0826 -0.0368 0.0019 0.0035 0.0016 - 0.0019 0.0015 0.0004 0.0075 0.0102 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1821 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 24/21 13/11 -0.0493 ( -0.0244)
0.5236 0.1611 0.0171 - 0.4764 0.1254 0.0037 +0.0748 -0.0493 0.0018 0.0035 0.0019 - 0.0018 0.0013 0.0003 0.0069 0.0095 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1820 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 4 R 24/22 11/8 -0.0626 ( -0.0378)
0.5187 0.1649 0.0150 - 0.4813 0.1297 0.0049 +0.0587 -0.0626 0.0018 0.0040 0.0016 - 0.0018 0.0015 0.0003 0.0067 0.0092 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1349 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R 11/8 6/4 -0.0641 ( -0.0393)
0.5199 0.1842 0.0223 - 0.4801 0.1382 0.0070 +0.0625 -0.0641 0.0020 0.0040 0.0023 - 0.0020 0.0016 0.0005 0.0075 0.0103 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1350 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 6 R 13/10 6/4 -0.0837 ( -0.0589)
0.5211 0.1902 0.0206 - 0.4789 0.1422 0.0068 +0.0703 -0.0837 0.0035 0.0065 0.0031 - 0.0035 0.0019 0.0007 0.0156 0.0182 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 999 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 7 R 24/21 6/4 -0.1144 ( -0.0896)
0.5131 0.1632 0.0167 - 0.4869 0.1471 0.0052 +0.0188 -0.1144 0.0028 0.0044 0.0021 - 0.0028 0.0021 0.0006 0.0100 0.0142 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 998 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 8 R 13/8 -0.1436 ( -0.1188)
0.5042 0.1737 0.0116 - 0.4958 0.1348 0.0052 +0.0042 -0.1436 0.0022 0.0051 0.0015 - 0.0022 0.0020 0.0004 0.0078 0.0114 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 998 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814579469 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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