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Rollout and OTB

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 28 February 2009, at 8:35 p.m.

In Response To: I rolled LOTS of bad 32's in the finals (neilkaz)

As soon as the dice hit the table I figured that slotting was what I had to do and then noting that some of the hits aren't duped and that I might be able to hit a fly shot next turn, I ended up making another sickly play. I am at great risk of counter attack if I hit a fly shot after my play and also less likely to ever have a threatening position that can get some counterplay. Once again I seem to suffer from talking myself out of the correct play far too often.

The score (after 8 games) is: Bob Glass 9, Neil Kaz 4 (match to 13 points)

Move number 12: Neil Kaz to play 23


2O2X '2X2X2X '1X2X '1X '

2X '3O ' '4O '4O1O '1O1X

Pip counts: Bob Glass 132, Neil Kaz 133
Position ID: ZpsmATAcz0sAMA Match ID: UQmtAZAAIAAA

• Neil Kaz moves 11/6

Alert: bad move ( -0.122)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 11/9 8/5 -0.3200
0.27290.07060.0052-0.72710.28650.0881 -0.5242 -0.3200
0.00190.00120.0004-0.00190.00440.0050 0.0060 0.0084
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 11/9 6/3 -0.3880 ( -0.0679)
0.25350.05990.0027-0.74650.25500.0562 -0.5743 -0.3880
0.00170.00110.0005-0.00170.00390.0042 0.0057 0.0075
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 11/6 -0.4415 ( -0.1215)
0.23670.05760.0035-0.76330.25400.0574 -0.6219 -0.4415
0.00160.00100.0003-0.00160.00440.0042 0.0053 0.0070
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 9/6 8/6 -0.4731 ( -0.1531)
0.23230.05490.0035-0.76770.26040.0536 -0.6351 -0.4731
0.00170.00110.0003-0.00170.00440.0038 0.0052 0.0073
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 4 24/22 9/6 -0.4688 ( -0.1487)
0.2509 0.0787 0.0058 - 0.7491 0.3766 0.0263

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