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Rollout and OTB
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: I rolled LOTS of bad 32's in the finals (neilkaz)
Date: Saturday, 28 February 2009, at 8:35 p.m.
As soon as the dice hit the table I figured that slotting was what I had to do and then noting that some of the hits aren't duped and that I might be able to hit a fly shot next turn, I ended up making another sickly play. I am at great risk of counter attack if I hit a fly shot after my play and also less likely to ever have a threatening position that can get some counterplay. Once again I seem to suffer from talking myself out of the correct play far too often.
The score (after 8 games) is: Bob Glass 9, Neil Kaz 4 (match to 13 points)
Move number 12: Neil Kaz to play 23
Pip counts: Bob Glass 132, Neil Kaz 133
Position ID: ZpsmATAcz0sAMA Match ID: UQmtAZAAIAAA
• Neil Kaz moves 11/6
Alert: bad move ( -0.122)
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 11/9 8/5 -0.3200
0.2729 0.0706 0.0052 - 0.7271 0.2865 0.0881 -0.5242 -0.3200 0.0019 0.0012 0.0004 - 0.0019 0.0044 0.0050 0.0060 0.0084 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 11/9 6/3 -0.3880 ( -0.0679)
0.2535 0.0599 0.0027 - 0.7465 0.2550 0.0562 -0.5743 -0.3880 0.0017 0.0011 0.0005 - 0.0017 0.0039 0.0042 0.0057 0.0075 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 3 R 11/6 -0.4415 ( -0.1215)
0.2367 0.0576 0.0035 - 0.7633 0.2540 0.0574 -0.6219 -0.4415 0.0016 0.0010 0.0003 - 0.0016 0.0044 0.0042 0.0053 0.0070 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 9/6 8/6 -0.4731 ( -0.1531)
0.2323 0.0549 0.0035 - 0.7677 0.2604 0.0536 -0.6351 -0.4731 0.0017 0.0011 0.0003 - 0.0017 0.0044 0.0038 0.0052 0.0073 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1298 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 814561469 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 4 24/22 9/6 -0.4688 ( -0.1487) 0.2509 0.0787 0.0058 - 0.7491 0.3766 0.0263
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