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Short rollout showing how bad it is when my side crashes

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 1 March 2009, at 6:12 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout and coupons for Whopper combos (neilkaz)

Note that White still has both guys on the roof. I'll see if things change when one has entered with a 4.

The score (after 0 games) is: Lions_Gord 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 4: Lions_Gord on roll, cube decision?


 ' ' '2X3O3X2X2X2X2X ' '

3O3O4O '2O ' ' ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: Lions_Gord 144, neilkaz 91
Position ID: d88AgAOY2zYAYA Match ID: MAHgAAAAAAAA

• Lions_Gord doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0287)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4776(Money: +0.4696)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.8696
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1304
3.Double, take +0.8410 -0.0287
Proper cube action:No double, take (18.0%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.68470.16750.0067-0.31530.07290.0012 +0.4776 +0.8696
Standard error0.00490.00580.0011-0.00490.00230.0007 0.0124 0.0287
Player neilkaz owns 2-cube0.68810.17560.0058-0.31190.07030.0011 +1.0102 +0.8410
Standard error0.00530.00640.0017-0.00530.00290.0007 0.0270 0.0343
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
218 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 813954140 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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