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MET and G%

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 2 March 2009, at 6:02 p.m.

In Response To: Doubles 2-away 5-away cube action (David Rockwell)

David, your rollouts like Ian Dunstin's were done with 2 ply GNU, while mine (5pt match table) were done with 0-ply play and Zorba's (g11) also were done with 0-ply play.

Not in a million billion zillion years could I believe that 2-ply wins so many more G's(or perhaps more games due to GG checker play) than 0-ply to make such a difference at GG (-1-2C) not in googleplex(big number ain't it?) of years ....

... when this was shown to me...being untrusting I did my own rollouts and yeah..this is true.

Anyhow..I don't think anyone can move the checkers as well as GNU 2-ply at GG and almost everyone would be happy to be as good as 0-ply...so I just basically average the two tables for short matches (which is where it may make some slightly meaningful difference) and use 32% for GG. I base my calculations Crawford scores on 36% singles wins 13.5% G wins and 0.5% BG wins and I think this is good enough and results in an average between the 0-ply and 2-ply results.

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