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Re: What is Blue's MWC trailing 7-2 tp 9 ?

Posted By: DC-Ohio
Date: Wednesday, 28 March 2007, at 7:21 p.m.

In Response To: What is Blue's MWC trailing 7-2 tp 9 ? (neilkaz)

~17.5% Correct?

Thinking 7 is worth 6.5 per point according to Neil's (hey! that's you!) handy approximation chart if my memory is good....

So 6.5 * 5 = 32.5+50 = 82.5% for white, so blue is 17.5% at -2, -7. White probably wins at least 85% maybe closer to 90% here. Obviously blue automatically redoubles to 8 if he takes, so it becomes DMP...

So blue has about a 10-15% chance of winning the match here compared to a 17ish% chance if he drops.

Technically a drop correct?

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