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Re: Only a technicality

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Friday, 30 March 2007, at 10:13 a.m.

In Response To: Only a technicality (Ian Dunstan)

The score is: LittleWhiteLiar 6, FeelingBlue 8 (match to 9 points, Crawford game)

Move: FeelingBlue to play 32

LittleWhiteLiar69


2X2X3X3X2X2X ' '1O ' ' '

5O4O2O3O1X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

FeelingBlue47

Position ID: 290GAALf2wEgAA Match ID: 8IkpAWAAQAAA

• FeelingBlue moves 4/2 4/1

Not very interesting for a bulletin board problem apparently, but it was for me with the match on the line. I was tempted to take the 'middle' road and leave 5 shots, but a good thing I didn't because, it's wrong, and also I would have got hit with opponents upcoming 54 roll. OTB, I figured that the least amount of shots would probably not be a blunder, but it's often right to volunteer a few extra shots to get closer to home with the last chequer. In this case these two themes nearly balance one another out, but statistically its right to go ugly and minimise shots.

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 4/2 4/1 +0.2217
61.10% 0.63% 0.00%- 38.90% 0.71% 0.00% +0.2217 +0.2217
0.07% 0.27% 0.00%- 0.07% 0.04% 0.00% 0.0014 0.0014
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1059128291 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 6 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 12 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 16/13 4/2 +0.2126 ( -0.0090)
60.66% 0.62% 0.00%- 39.34% 0.55% 0.01% +0.2126 +0.2126
0.05% 0.22% 0.00%- 0.05% 0.05% 0.00% 0.0011 0.0011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1059128291 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 6 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 12 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 16/14 4/1 +0.2095 ( -0.0121)
60.50% 0.38% 0.00%- 39.50% 0.48% 0.01% +0.2095 +0.2095
0.07% 0.16% 0.00%- 0.07% 0.03% 0.00% 0.0014 0.0014
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
432 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1059128291 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 6 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Different evaluations after 12 plies:
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 2 4/1 3/1 +0.1829 ( -0.0387)
59.17% 0.02% 0.00% - 40.83% 0.98% 0.00%
5 2 16/13 3/1 +0.1747 ( -0.0470)
58.75% 0.01% 0.00% - 41.25% 0.85% 0.00%
6 2 16/11 -0.0845 ( -0.3061)
45.81% 0.13% 0.00% - 54.19% 0.99% 0.01%

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