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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 12:26 p.m.

In Response To: Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes (Stick)

Linda cubed me here and despite my 4 blots I thought it to be a small take at this score. Still, thinking it's a small take & taking are always two different things and I couldn't make up my mind which was more important, passing and forgoing the possible gammon loss on a 2 cube or taking and making her play out the position? Ultimately I settled on there being too much play left in the position to let it go and took. There's not a ton of play left in the position when she tosses and immediate 55, that much I learned.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 3, user 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	140
user	173
Position ID: mGdwBEqxzcEBGA Match ID: MAFgATAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.7259	(Money: +0.7185)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0481	+0.0481
3.	No double	+0.8442	-0.1558
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6779 0.4032 0.0457 - 0.3221 0.0812 0.0049 +0.7259 +0.8442 Standard error 0.0014 0.0018 0.0014 - 0.0014 0.0010 0.0003 0.0042 0.0109 Player user owns 2-cube 0.6784 0.4062 0.0475 - 0.3216 0.0798 0.0049 +1.4506 +1.0481 Standard error 0.0017 0.0022 0.0018 - 0.0017 0.0011 0.0003 0.0096 0.0143
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2446 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 820972341 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
  Stick -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 11:20 a.m.
  • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
    Stein Kulseth -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 12:15 p.m.
  • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 12:50 p.m.
  • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
    mamabear -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 2:15 p.m.
  • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 3:29 p.m.
  • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 3:34 p.m.
    • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
      John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 4:41 a.m.
      • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
        Coolrey -- Saturday, 28 March 2009, at 5:11 p.m.
  • Lisle - the other Rockwell cubes
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 3:40 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 12:26 p.m.