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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 26 March 2009, at 6:19 a.m.

In Response To: DMP 33 v. Ray (Stick)

I first had to check that I wasn't up enough in the race to make the tricky dmp play of 13/7(2). Deciding that I wasn't and that I could do better hitting, my first two 3s were forced, 8/5*/2. I think leaving a direct shot is far too expensive.

After that it's between which 5pt board to make, hoping he dances for a while as I bring my men in and crush the race. I decided having him come in higher and not leaving the immediate two fly shots were the way to go. What this does leave however is a closer race when Ray enters with something like 55, as he was so kind to point out to me on his turn. If he comes in on the 3pt there's no hope for escape and I'll likely still have at least 2 builders in place to PoH or P&P if needed to bring it home.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

gnubg	101
user	94
Position ID: uu0EAwLLPA8GAA Match ID: cIktAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/5*/2 8/5(2)	+0.6817
			0.8409 0.3363 0.0028 - 0.1591 0.0202 0.0011 +0.6817 +0.6817 0.0031 0.0326 0.0010 - 0.0031 0.0042 0.0002 0.0063 0.0063
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			113 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 820972802 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	8/5*/2 6/3(2)	+0.6446 ( -0.0372)
			0.8223 0.2444 0.0013 - 0.1777 0.0332 0.0006 +0.6446 +0.6446 0.0038 0.0289 0.0002 - 0.0038 0.0088 0.0004 0.0076 0.0076
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			113 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 820972802 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/7(2)	+0.5241 ( -0.1576)
			0.7621 0.0386 0.0001 - 0.2379 0.0026 0.0000 +0.5241 +0.5241 0.0022 0.0110 0.0001 - 0.0022 0.0010 0.0002 0.0044 0.0044
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			112 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 820972802 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• DMP 33 v. Ray
  Stick -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 1:04 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 1:36 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 1:47 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 2:35 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 3:44 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    David -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 4:47 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 25 March 2009, at 5:35 p.m.
  • DMP 33 v. Ray
    coolrey -- Thursday, 26 March 2009, at 12:45 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 26 March 2009, at 6:19 a.m.