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A new variance reduciton technique

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 30 March 2009, at 5:34 a.m.

In Response To: A new variance reduciton technique (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Correct. A couple points to note

i) just as with regular rollouts an equity with std error is obtained for both plays A and B. Those numbers will be no better than with the conventional method.

ii) The advantage comes in that the std error of the difference will be lower. If the obtained estimate for play A is off the obtained estimate for play B is likely to be off in the same direction.

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