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Some MET's are here

Posted By: Tad Bright
Date: Tuesday, 31 March 2009, at 11:43 p.m.

In Response To: Some MET's are here (neilkaz)

Is your e-mail address correct? Can't get formatting correct here.

Method: Full rollouts, 0-ply checker play, 2-ply 25% cube, 2160 trials or more twice per score, SE's <0.06% MWC with a couple of exceptions.

11 point MET generated using GNUBG full rollouts by Zorba

(Pre-)Crawford

1-away 2-away 3-away 4-away 5-away 6-away 7-away 8-away 9-away 10away 11away 1 0.50000 0.68145 0.75077 0.81768 0.84451 0.89025 0.90898 0.93560 0.94591 0.96147 0.96784 2 0.31855 0.50000 0.59964 0.67184 0.74524 0.80195 0.84430 0.87749 0.90373 0.92537 0.94122 3 0.24923 0.40036 0.50000 0.57373 0.65026 0.71424 0.76514 0.80908 0.84335 0.87438 0.89731 4 0.18232 0.32816 0.42627 0.50000 0.57745 0.64553 0.70186 0.74855 0.79129 0.82755 0.85733 5 0.15549 0.25476 0.34974 0.42255 0.50000 0.56828 0.62867 0.68040 0.72739 0.76917 0.80443 6 0.10975 0.19805 0.28576 0.35447 0.43172 0.50000 0.56315 0.61776 0.66954 0.71561 0.75629 7 0.09102 0.15570 0.23486 0.29814 0.37133 0.43685 0.50000 0.55605 0.60994 0.65847 0.70268 8 0.06440 0.12251 0.19092 0.25145 0.31960 0.38224 0.44395 0.50000 0.55493 0.60525 0.65171 9 0.05409 0.09627 0.15665 0.20871 0.27261 0.33046 0.39006 0.44507 0.50000 0.55048 0.59896 10 0.03853 0.07463 0.12562 0.17245 0.23083 0.28439 0.34153 0.39475 0.44952 0.50000 0.54949 11 0.03216 0.05878 0.10269 0.14267 0.19557 0.24371 0.29732 0.34829 0.40104 0.45051 0.50000

Post-Crawford

1-away 2-away 3-away 4-away 5-away 6-away 7-away 8-away 9-away 10away 11away

0.50000 0.48811 0.31770 0.30588 0.18538 0.17763 0.11064 0.10574 0.06667 0.06277 0.03988

1-away 2-away 3-away 4-away 5-away 6-away 7-away 8-away 9-away 10away 11away 1 50.0% 68.1% 75.1% 81.8% 84.5% 89.0% 90.9% 93.6% 94.6% 96.1% 96.8% 2 31.9% 50.0% 60.0% 67.2% 74.5% 80.2% 84.4% 87.7% 90.4% 92.5% 94.1% 3 24.9% 40.0% 50.0% 57.4% 65.0% 71.4% 76.5% 80.9% 84.3% 87.4% 89.7% 4 18.2% 32.8% 42.6% 50.0% 57.7% 64.6% 70.2% 74.9% 79.1% 82.8% 85.7% 5 15.5% 25.5% 35.0% 42.3% 50.0% 56.8% 62.9% 68.0% 72.7% 76.9% 80.4% 6 11.0% 19.8% 28.6% 35.4% 43.2% 50.0% 56.3% 61.8% 67.0% 71.6% 75.6% 7 9.1% 15.6% 23.5% 29.8% 37.1% 43.7% 50.0% 55.6% 61.0% 65.8% 70.3% 8 6.4% 12.3% 19.1% 25.1% 32.0% 38.2% 44.4% 50.0% 55.5% 60.5% 65.2% 9 5.4% 9.6% 15.7% 20.9% 27.3% 33.0% 39.0% 44.5% 50.0% 55.0% 59.9% 10 3.9% 7.5% 12.6% 17.2% 23.1% 28.4% 34.2% 39.5% 45.0% 50.0% 54.9% 11 3.2% 5.9% 10.3% 14.3% 19.6% 24.4% 29.7% 34.8% 40.1% 45.1% 50.0%

1-away 2-away 3-away 4-away 5-away 6-away 7-away 8-away 9-away 10away 11away

50.0% 48.8% 31.8% 30.6% 18.5% 17.8% 11.1% 10.6% 6.7% 6.3% 4.0%

By way of John O'Hagan, this is reasonably accurate for Snowie & g11 METs. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 7.5 7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 5 4.5 4.5 4 4

No dbl 0.55 0.1 0.2 0.15

70.2% 76.5% 56.8% 50.0%

0.386023 0.076514 0.113656 0.075 0.651193

Dbl 0.55 0.1 0.2 0.15

76.5% 90.9% 50.0% 35.0%

0.420827 0.090898 0.1 0.052461 0.664186

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